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Condition-based hazard rate estimation and optimal maintenance scheduling for electrical transmission system

机译:输电系统的基于状态的危险率估计和最佳维护计划

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摘要

The effectiveness of expending maintenance resources can vary dramatically depending on the target and timing of the maintenance activities. The objective of the work to develop a method of allocating economic resources and scheduling maintenance tasks among bulk transmission system equipment, so as to optimize the effect of maintenance with respect to the mitigation of component failure consequences. Techniques including condition-based failure rate estimation of electric transmission system components, analysis of failure consequences in power system, probabilistic modeling and risk assessment, and optimization are integrated in the work. Hidden Markov model is a good tool to estimate instantaneous status for deteriorating components. The maintenance selection and scheduling approach for bulk transmission equipment is based on the cumulative long-term risk caused by failure of each piece of equipment;This approach not only accounts for equipment failure probability and equipment damage, but it also accounts for the outage consequence in term of system related security problems. Various types of maintenance activities are studied and their relationship to the failure modes and system security improvement are investigated. An optimizer is developed to select and schedule the maintenance for large networks with various types of resource constraints, together with methods of resource reallocation;Finally, a strategy of incorporating maintenance activities among different transmission owners is developed. The objective of our work is to allocate resources economically and strategically so as to provide best performance of maintenance for electrical transmission system. These strategies can also be applied to problems inherent to resource intensive asset management in many similar types of infrastructures such as gas pipelines, airlines, and telecommunications.
机译:维护资源消耗的有效性可能会因维护活动的目标和时间安排而有很大差异。该工作的目的是开发一种在大容量传输系统设备之间分配经济资源和安排维护任务的方法,以便在减轻组件故障后果方面优化维护效果。包括基于条件的输电系统部件故障率估算,电力系统故障后果分析,概率建模和风险评估以及优化等技术。隐马尔可夫模型是评估零件劣化的瞬时状态的好工具。散装运输设备的维护选择和调度方法是基于每台设备故障造成的累积长期风险;该方法不仅考虑了设备故障的可能性和设备损坏,还考虑了设备故障的后果与系统相关的安全问题。研究了各种类型的维护活动,并研究了它们与故障模式和系统安全性改进之间的关系。开发了一种优化器,用于选择和调度具有各种资源约束类型的大型网络的维护以及资源重新分配的方法;最后,制定了一种将维护活动纳入不同传输所有者之间的策略。我们的工作目标是在经济和战略上分配资源,以便为电力传输系统提供最佳的维护性能。这些策略还可以应用于许多类似类型的基础设施中的资源密集型资产管理固有的问题,例如天然气管道,航空公司和电信。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yong, Jiang;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2006
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
  • 中图分类

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